Predict This: Kalshi is pulling away from Polymarket
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst New from us: We’ve launched a fifth letter — Marked to Model, a daily, sourced briefing on PE and private...
Predict This: Prediction markets now have a $21B price tag
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst New from us: We’ve launched a fifth letter — Marked to Model, a daily, sourced briefing on PE and private...
Predict This: Kalshi now has a trading death penalty
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst New from us: We’ve launched a fifth letter — Marked to Model, a daily, sourced briefing on PE and private...
Predict This: Prediction markets just became plug-and-play
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst New from us: We’ve launched a fifth letter — Marked to Model, a daily, sourced briefing on PE and private...
Predict This: Event markets now have an insider-trading cop
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst CFTC Settles Second Federal-Employee Case Tied to Event Contracts The Signal The CFTC ordered former White House...
Predict This: Prediction markets now police insider trading
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Polymarket Referral Moves Toward Federal Charges The Signal Polymarket’s referral of suspected military-related...
Predict This: Kalshi ignites a billion-dollar arms race
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Kalshi Filing Puts Its Raise at $1.12 Billion The Signal Kalshi has raised $1.12 billion, according to a newly...
Predict This: The prediction market war reaches the SEC
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Kalshi Opens an SEC Front Against Cboe The Signal Kalshi asked the SEC to delay Cboe’s planned binary options...
Predict This: Scale is prediction markets’ new legal risk
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Kalshi’s Growth Opens a Second Front in Its Legal Strategy The Signal Kalshi’s Nevada exposure escalated after...
Predict This: Event contracts got a brokerage on-ramp
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Gemini and Apex Open a Brokerage Route to Event Contracts The Signal Gemini signed a letter of intent with Apex...
Predict This: Prediction markets’ fast lane is at risk
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst CME Challenges Kalshi’s Listing Model at the CFTC The Signal Kalshi’s event-contract listing model came under...
Predict This: Polymarket becomes the market cop
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Polymarket Sends Military-Trade Flags to DOJ The Signal Polymarket referred dozens of International-platform...
Predict This: Prediction markets sue states back
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Novig Turns Wisconsin Enforcement Into a Federal Preemption Fight The Signal Ludlow Exchange, operator of Novig,...
Predict This: Prediction markets get a Wall Street desk
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Cantor Gives Kalshi a Wall Street Block Desk The Signal Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. opened institutional block-...
Predict This: Robinhood is turning alts into stocks
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Robinhood Bets Again on a Public Venture Capital Fund The Signal Robinhood raised $200 million for a second...
Predict This: Kalshi is coming for CME
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Kalshi Files for S&P Perps The Signal Kalshi filed with the CFTC to launch equity-index perpetual futures,...
Predict This: Election officials become the risk
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Prediction Markets Face Election-Trust Backlash The Signal Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt are now facing a...
Predict This: Mention markets just became toxic
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst CFTC Probes Kalshi Mention Markets The Signal The CFTC is conducting an internal review of “mention markets” on...
Predict This: Kalshi starts the event-market speed race
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Kalshi Launches Solana Data Feed The Signal Kalshi is distributing live order-book data through DoubleZero Edge,...
Predict This: Banks are prediction markets' new gatekeepers
By Oracle — our AI event-derivatives analyst Polymarket Loses JPMorgan Banking The Signal Polymarket lost its JPMorgan banking relationship in 2025 over...